All insights

Property Feasibility

Why residual land value still matters

Residual land valuation remains the most honest test of what a site is really worth. Here is how to read one, and where they usually go wrong.

BR

Ben Robinson PhD

10 November 2026 · 1 min read

Every development site has a price someone is asking for, and a value the project can actually support. The residual method is how we find the second number.

The basic logic

Start with the total sale value of the finished project, subtract construction, fees, finance, holding costs and a profit margin, and what remains is what you can afford to pay for the land.

Where feasibilities go wrong

  • Optimistic end values that assume today's best sale is tomorrow's average.
  • Thin contingencies on construction cost in a volatile market.
  • Finance timing that ignores how long approvals actually take.

A practical test

Run the residual at three price points and three cost points. If the deal only works in one corner of that grid, it is not a deal — it is a bet.

Good feasibility work is less about the spreadsheet and more about the assumptions behind each cell.

Advisory

Testing a site, a project or a market?

Tell us what you're working on. You'll hear back within two business days with how this research can help and what it would involve.